Original Screenplay

Each week, the Oscars Central team will bring you updated predictions! The team will be basing predictions on forecasters, other nominations/wins, campaigns and previous Oscar season patterns. Below, you’ll find our Top 10 predictions for Original Screenplay.

While there are some screenplays we are waiting to hear if they’re officially original or adapted (marked with an asterisk), for the time we’ll include those where we currently think the screenplays will be placed.

*Last updated 9/22

KENZIE
THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN*
BABYLON
THE FABELMANS
BARDO
TÁR
TRIANGLE OF SADNESS
DECISION TO LEAVE
HOLY SPIDER
EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE
BROS
JACOB
THE FABELMANS
EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE
THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN*
BABYLON
DECISION TO LEAVE
TRIANGLE OF SADNESS
BROS
CHA CHA REAL SMOOTH
TÁR
BROKER
RICKY
THE FABELMANS
BABYLON
EMPIRE OF LIGHT
DECISION TO LEAVE
TÁR
TRIANGLE OF SADNESS
AMSTERDAM
THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN*
EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE
BARDO
NICOLE
THE FABELMANS 
BABYLON 
THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN*
EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE
TÁR
BARDO 
DECISION TO LEAVE
TILL
BROS
CHA CHA REAL SMOOTH
JILLIAN
EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE
BABYLON
DECISION TO LEAVE
TRIANGLE OF SADNESS
TÁR
EMPIRE OF LIGHT
NOPE
HOLY SPIDER
THE FABELMANS 
THE MENU
ADRIANO
EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE
THE FABELMANS
THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN*
BABYLON
TÁR
BROS
TRIANGLE OF SADNESS
THE MENU
CHA CHA REAL SMOOTH
EMPIRE OF LIGHT
LEX
THE FABELMANS
EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE
BABYLON
TÁR
TRIANGLE OF SADNESS
EMPIRE OF LIGHT
BARDO
CHA CHA REAL SMOOTH
DECISION TO LEAVE
TILL