Lead Actress

Each week, the Oscars Central team will bring you updated predictions! The team will be basing predictions on forecasters, other nominations/wins, campaigns and previous Oscar season patterns. Below, you’ll find our Top 10 predictions for Lead Actress.

While there are some performances we are waiting to hear if they’re officially Lead or Supporting (marked with an asterisk), for the time we’ll include those where we currently think the performances will be placed.

*Last updated 9/22

KENZIE
CATE BLANCHETT – TÁR
MARGOT ROBBIE – BABYLON
OLIVIA COLMAN – EMPIRE OF LIGHT
NAOMIE ACKIE – I WANNA DANCE WITH SOMEBODY
MICHELLE WILLIAMS – THE FABELMANS
ZOE KAZAN – SHE SAID*
MICHELLE YEOH – EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE
JENNIFER LAWRENCE – CAUSEWAY
DANIELLE DEADWYLER – TILL
ANA DE ARMAS – BLONDE
JACOB
CATE BLANCHETT – TÁR
MICHELLE YEOH – EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE
MARGOT ROBBIE – BABYLON
OLIVIA COLMAN – EMPIRE OF LIGHT
VIOLA DAVIS – THE WOMAN KING
NAOMIE ACKIE – I WANNA DANCE WITH SOMEBODY
ZOE KAZAN – SHE SAID*
TANG WEI – DECISION TO LEAVE
DANIELLE DEADWYLER – TILL
EMMA THOMPSON – GOOD LUCK TO YOU, LEO GRANDE
RICKY
CATE BLANCHETT – TÁR
MARGOT ROBBIE – BABYLON
OLIVIA COLMAN – EMPIRE OF LIGHT
MICHELLE WILLIAMS – THE FABELMANS
CAREY MULLIGAN – SHE SAID*
JENNIFER LAWRENCE – CAUSEWAY
NAOMIE ACKIE – I WANNA DANCE WITH SOMEBODY
EMMA THOMPSON – GOOD LUCK TO YOU, LEO GRANDE
MICHELLE YEOH – EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE
VIOLA DAVIS – THE WOMAN KING
NICOLE
CATE BLANCHETT – TÁR
VIOLA DAVIS – THE WOMAN KING
OLIVIA COLMAN – EMPIRE OF LIGHT
MICHELLE WILLIAMS – THE FABELMANS
MICHELLE YEOH – EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE
MARGOT ROBBIE – BABYLON 
NAOMIE ACKIE – I WANNA DANCE WITH SOMEBODY
CAREY MULLIGAN – SHE SAID*
EMMA THOMPSON – GOOD LUCK TO YOU, LEO GRANDE
JENNIFER LAWRENCE – CAUSEWAY
JILLIAN
CATE BLANCHETT – TÁR
MICHELLE YEOH – EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE
MARGOT ROBBIE – BABYLON
TANG WEI – DECISION TO LEAVE
OLIVIA COLMAN – EMPIRE OF LIGHT
NAOMIE ACKIE – I WANNA DANCE WITH SOMEBODY
TAYLOR RUSSELL – BONES AND ALL
ANA DE ARMAS – BLONDE
JENNIFER LAWRENCE – CAUSEWAY
ADRIANO
MARGOT ROBBIE – BABYLON
MICHELLE YEOH – EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE
CATE BLANCHETT – TÁR
OLIVIA COLMAN – EMPIRE OF LIGHT
NAOMIE ACKIE – I WANNA DANCE WITH SOMEBODY
ANA DE ARMAS – BLONDE
VIOLA DAVIS – THE WOMAN KING
DANIELLE DEADWYLER – TILL
MICHELLE WILLIAMS – THE FABELMANS
ZOE KAZAN – SHE SAID*
LEX
OLIVIA COLMAN – EMPIRE OF LIGHT
NAOMIE ACKIE – I WANNA DANCE WITH SOMEBODY
VIOLA DAVIS – THE WOMAN KING
CATE BLANCHETT – TÁR
MARGOT ROBBIE – BABYLON
CAREY MULLIGAN- SHE SAID*
MICHELLE YEOH – EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE
ANA DE ARMAS – BLONDE
JENNIFER LAWRENCE – CAUSEWAY