Lead Actor

Each week, the Oscars Central team will bring you updated predictions! The team will be basing predictions on forecasters, other nominations/wins, campaigns and previous Oscar season patterns. Below, you’ll find our Top 10 predictions for Lead Actor.

*Last updated 1/22

KENZIE
AUSTIN BUTLER – ELVIS
COLIN FARRELL – THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN
BRENDAN FRASER – THE WHALE
BILL NIGHY – LIVING
PAUL MESCAL – AFTERSUN
HUGH JACKMAN – THE SON
TOM HANKS – A MAN CALLED OTTO
JEREMY POPE – THE INSPECTION
ADAM SANDLER – HUSTLE
TOM CRUISE – TOP GUN: MAVERICK
JACOB
COLIN FARRELL – THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN
AUSTIN BUTLER – ELVIS
BRENDAN FRASER – THE WHALE
BILL NIGHY – LIVING
PAUL MESCAL – AFTERSUN
TOM CRUISE – TOP GUN: MAVERICK
HUGH JACKMAN – THE SON
TOM HANKS – A MAN CALLED OTTO
DIEGO CALVA – BABYLON
DANIEL CRAIG – GLASS ONION: A KNIVES OUT MYSTERY
RICKY
AUSTIN BUTLER – ELVIS
COLIN FARRELL – THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN
BRENDAN FRASER – THE WHALE
BILL NIGHY – LIVING
HUGH JACKMAN – THE SON
TOM HANKS – A MAN CALLED OTTO
PAUL MESCAL – AFTERSUN
TOM CRUISE – TOP GUN: MAVERICK
DIEGO CALVA – BABYLON
DANIEL CRAIG – GLASS ONION: A KNIVES OUT MYSTERY
NICOLE
AUSTIN BUTLER – ELVIS
COLIN FARRELL – THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN
BRENDAN FRASER – THE WHALE
BILL NIGHY – LIVING
PAUL MESCAL – AFTERSUN
TOM CRUISE – TOP GUN: MAVERICK 
DIEGO CALVA – BABYLON
HUGH JACKMAN – THE SON 
DANIEL GIMÉNEZ CACHO – BARDO
JEREMY POPE – THE INSPECTION
JILLIAN
BRENDAN FRASER – THE WHALE
COLIN FARRELL – THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN
BILL NIGHY – LIVING
DIEGO CALVA – BABYLON
AUSTIN BUTLER – ELVIS
PAUL MESCAL – AFTERSUN
DANIEL CRAIG – GLASS ONION: A KNIVES OUT MYSTERY
ADAM DRIVER – WHITE NOISE
JEREMY POPE – THE INSPECTION
TOM CRUISE – TOP GUN: MAVERICK 
ADRIANO
BRENDAN FRASER – THE WHALE
AUSTIN BUTLER – ELVIS
COLIN FARRELL – THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN
BILL NIGHY – LIVING
PAUL MESCAL – AFTERSUN
ADAM SANDLER – HUSTLE
TOM CRUISE – TOP GUN: MAVERICK
RALPH FIENNES – THE MENU
JEREMY POPE – THE INSPECTION
TOM HANKS – A MAN CALLED OTTO
LEX
COLIN FARRELL – THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN
AUSTIN BUTLER – ELVIS
BRENDAN FRASER – THE WHALE
DIEGO CALVA – BABYLON
BILL NIGHY – LIVING
PAUL MESCAL – AFTERSUN
TOM CRUISE – TOP GUN: MAVERICK
JEREMY POPE – THE INSPECTION
ADAM DRIVER – WHITE NOISE
TOM HANKS – A MAN CALLED OTTO