Lead Actor

Each week, the Oscars Central team will bring you updated predictions! The team will be basing predictions on forecasters, other nominations/wins, campaigns and previous Oscar season patterns. Below, you’ll find our Top 10 predictions for Lead Actor.

*Last updated 9/22

KENZIE
BRENDAN FRASER – THE WHALE
COLIN FARRELL – THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN
AUSTIN BUTLER – ELVIS
DIEGO CALVA – BABYLON
BILL NIGHY – LIVING
DANIEL GIMÉNEZ CACHO – BARDO
HUGH JACKMAN – THE SON
ADAM DRIVER – WHITE NOISE
MICHAEL WARD – EMPIRE OF LIGHT*
JEREMY POPE – THE INSPECTION
JACOB
BRENDAN FRASER – THE WHALE
COLIN FARRELL – THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN
AUSTIN BUTLER – ELVIS
DIEGO CALVA – BABYLON
HUGH JACKMAN – THE SON
BILL NIGHY – LIVING
DANIEL CRAIG – GLASS ONION: A KNIVES OUT MYSTERY
DANIEL GIMÉNEZ CACHO – BARDO
ADAM DRIVER – WHITE NOISE
PAUL MESCAL – AFTERSUN
RICKY
AUSTIN BUTLER – ELVIS
DIEGO CALVA – BABYLON
BRENDAN FRASER – THE WHALE
COLIN FARRELL – THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN
HUGH JACKMAN – THE SON
DANIEL GIMÉNEZ CACHO – BARDO
MICHAEL WARD – EMPIRE OF LIGHT*
SONG KANG-HO – BROKER
TOM CRUISE – TOP GUN: MAVERICK
PAUL MESCAL – AFTERSUN
NICOLE
BRENDAN FRASER – THE WHALE
AUSTIN BUTLER – ELVIS
COLIN FARRELL – THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN
DIEGO CALVA – BABYLON
BILL NIGHY – LIVING
HUGH JACKMAN – THE SON
ADAM DRIVER – WHITE NOISE
DANIEL GIMÉNEZ CACHO – BARDO
SONG KANG-HO – BROKER
PAUL MESCAL – AFTERSUN
JILLIAN
BRENDAN FRASER – THE WHALE
COLIN FARRELL – THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN
DIEGO CALVA – BABYLON
TOM CRUISE – TOP GUN: MAVERICK
AUSTIN BUTLER – ELVIS
DANIEL CRAIG – GLASS ONION: A KNIVES OUT MYSTERY
BILL NIGHY – LIVING
ADAM DRIVER – WHITE NOISE
PAUL MESCAL – AFTERSUN
JEREMY POPE – THE INSPECTION
ADRIANO
BRENDAN FRASER – THE WHALE
COLIN FARRELL – THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN
AUSTIN BUTLER – ELVIS
DIEGO CALVA – BABYLON
KELVIN HARRISON JR. – CHEVALIER
HUGH JACKMAN – THE SON
ADAM DRIVER – WHITE NOISE
ZAC EFRON – THE GREATEST BEER RUN EVER
CHRISTIAN BALE – AMSTERDAM
CHRISTIAN BALE – THE PALE BLUE EYES
LEX
BRENDAN FRASER – THE WHALE
AUSTIN BUTLER – ELVIS
HUGH JACKMAN – THE SON
DIEGO CALVA – BABYLON
COLIN FARRELL – THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN
ADAM DRIVER – WHITE NOISE
DANIEL GIMÉNEZ CACHO – BARDO
PAUL MESCAL – AFTERSUN