Each week, the Oscars Central team will bring you updated predictions! The team will be basing predictions on forecasters, other nominations/wins, campaigns and previous Oscar season patterns. Below, you’ll find our predictions for Lead Actor from most likely to least likely to win. *Last updated 3/1
KENZIE AUSTIN BUTLER – ELVIS BRENDAN FRASER – THE WHALE COLIN FARRELL – THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN BILL NIGHY – LIVING PAUL MESCAL – AFTERSUN
JACOB AUSTIN BUTLER – ELVIS BRENDAN FRASER – THE WHALE COLIN FARRELL – THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN PAUL MESCAL – AFTERSUN BILL NIGHY – LIVING
RICKY AUSTIN BUTLER – ELVIS COLIN FARRELL – THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN BRENDAN FRASER – THE WHALE BILL NIGHY – LIVING PAUL MESCAL – AFTERSUN
NICOLE AUSTIN BUTLER – ELVIS BRENDAN FRASER – THE WHALE COLIN FARRELL – THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN PAUL MESCAL – AFTERSUN BILL NIGHY – LIVING
JILLIAN AUSTIN BUTLER – ELVIS COLIN FARRELL – THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN BILL NIGHY – LIVING BRENDAN FRASER – THE WHALE PAUL MESCAL – AFTERSUN
ADRIANO BRENDAN FRASER – THE WHALE AUSTIN BUTLER – ELVIS COLIN FARRELL – THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN BILL NIGHY – LIVING PAUL MESCAL – AFTERSUN
LEX AUSTIN BUTLER – ELVIS COLIN FARRELL – THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN BRENDAN FRASER – THE WHALE PAUL MESCAL – AFTERSUN BILL NIGHY – LIVING