Oscar Contenders & Their Precursor Performances

As we are headed in to Oscar Nomination week, we are all finalizing our final nomination predictions based on guild and precursor performances. While stats still play a factor in a post CODA world, sometimes narratives or passion can push through a nominee or the guild/precursor performance is enough to carry a nomination to the finish line.

Our final Oscar Nomination predictions will drop on Monday, but we wanted to share our Precursor/Guild Performance guide that we’re using to wrap up our predictions!

BEST PICTUREWINSNOMINATIONSLONGLIST
THE BANSHEES OF INISHERINGGAFI, CCA, SAG, NBR, PGA, BAFTA
EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCECCAAFI, GG, SAG, NBR, PGA, BAFTA
THE FABELMANSGGAFI, CCA, SAG, NBR, PGABAFTA
ELVISAFI, GG,CCA, PGA, BAFTA
TÁRAFI, GG,CCA, PGA, BAFTA
TOP GUN: MAVERICKNBRAFI, GG,CCA, PGABAFTA
AVATAR: THE WAY OF WATERAFI, GG,CCA, NBR, PGA
WOMEN TALKINGAFI, CCA, SAG, NBR
GLASS ONION: A KNIVES OUT MYSTERYGG,CCA, NBR, PGA
RRRCCA, NBR
TRIANGLE OF SADNESSGGBAFTA
THE WOMAN KINGAFI, NBR
AFTERSUNNBRBAFTA
ALL QUIET ON THE WESTERN FRONTBAFTA
BABYLONGG
THE WHALEPGA
SHE SAIDAFI
BLACK PANTHER: WAKANDA FOREVERPGA
LIVINGBAFTA
NOPEAFI
TILLNBR
GUILLERMO DEL TORO’S PINOCCHIO
BEST DIRECTORWINSNOMINATIONSLONGLIST
THE DANIELS – EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCECCAGG,DGA, BAFTA
MARTIN MCDONAGH – THE BANSHEES OF INISHERINGG,CCA, DGA, BAFTA
TODD FIELD – TÁRCCA, DGA, BAFTA
STEVEN SPIELBERG – THE FABELMANSGG, NBRCCA, DGA
BAZ LUHRMANN – ELVISGG,CCABAFTA
EDWARD BERGER – ALL QUIET ON THE WESTERN FRONTBAFTA
JAMES CAMERON – AVATAR: THE WAY OF WATERGG,CCA
GINA PRINCE-BYTHEWOOD – THE WOMAN KINGCCA, BAFTA
JOSEPH KOSINKSI – TOP GUN:MAVERICKDGABAFTA
SARAH POLLEY – WOMEN TALKINGCCABAFTA
CHARLOTTE WELLS – AFTERSUNDGA (FF)BAFTA
S.S. RAJAMOULI – RRRCCA
DAMIEN CHAZELLE – BABYLONCCA
PARK CHAN-WOOK – DECISION TO LEAVEBAFTA
RUBEN ÖSTLUND – TRIANGLE OF SADNESS
ALEJANDRO G. IÑÁRRITU – BARDO
ORIGINAL SCREENPLAYWINSNOMINATIONSLONGLIST
THE BANSHEES OF INISHERINGG, NBRCCA, BAFTA
EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCECCAGG, BAFTA
TÁRGG,CCA, BAFTA
THE FABELMANSGG,CCA, BAFTA
AFTERSUNCCABAFTA
TRIANGLE OF SADNESSBAFTA
ELVISBAFTA
THE MENUBAFTA
DECISION TO LEAVE
BABYLON
ADAPTED SCREENPLAYWINSNOMINATIONSLONGLIST
WOMEN TALKINGCCAGG, USCBAFTA
THE WHALECCA, BAFTA
LIVINGCCA, USC, BAFTA
ALL QUIET ON THE WESTERN FRONTNBRBAFTA
GLASS ONION: A KNIVES OUT MYSTERYCCABAFTA
SHE SAIDCCA, USC, BAFTA
GUILLERMO DEL TORO’S PINOCCHIOUSCBAFTA
THE WONDERBAFTA
TOP GUN: MAVERICKUSC
WHITE NOISE
LEAD ACTRESSWINSNOMINATIONSLONGLIST
CATE BLANCHETT – TÁRGG, CCASAG, BAFTA
MICHELLE YEOH – EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCEGG, NBRCCA, SAG, BAFTA
DANIELLE DEADWYLER – TILLCCA, SAG, BAFTA
VIOLA DAVIS – THE WOMAN KINGGG, CCA, SAG, BAFTA
ANA DE ARMAS – BLONDEGG, SAG, BAFTA
MICHELLE WILLIAMS – THE FABELMANSGG, CCABAFTA
MARGOT ROBBIE – BABYLONGG, CCA
LESLEY MANVILLE – MRS HARRIS GOES TO PARISGGBAFTA
EMMA THOMPSON – GOOD LUCK TO YOU, LEO GRANDEGG, BAFTA
OLIVIA COLMAN – EMPIRE OF LIGHTGG
NAOMIE ACKIE – I WANNA DANCE WITH SOMEBODYBAFTA
JESSICA CHASTAIN – THE GOOD NURSEBAFTA
ANYA TAYLOR-JOY – THE MENUGG
LEAD ACTORWINSNOMINATIONSLONGLIST
COLIN FARRELL – THE BANSHEES OF INISHERINGG, NBRCCA, SAG, BAFTA
AUSTIN BUTLER – ELVISGGCCA, SAG, BAFTA
BRENDAN FRASER – THE WHALECCAGG, SAG, BAFTA
BILL NIGHY – LIVINGGG, CCA, SAG, BAFTA
PAUL MESCAL – AFTERSUNCCA, BAFTA
TOM CRUISE – TOP GUN: MAVERICKCCABAFTA
HUGH JACKMAN – THE SONGG
ADAM SANDLER – HUSTLESAG
JEREMY POPE – THE INSPECTIONGG
DIEGO CALVA – BABYLONGG
ADAM DRIVER – WHITE NOISEGG
RALPH FIENNES – THE MENUGG
DANIEL CRAIG – GLASS ONION: A KNIVES OUT MYSTERYGG
SUPPORTING ACTRESSWINSNOMINATIONSLONGLIST
ANGELA BASSETT – BLACK PANTHER: WAKANDA FOREVERGG, CCASAG, BAFTA
JAMIE LEE CURTIS – EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCEGG, CCA, SAG, BAFTA
KERRY CONDON – THE BANSHEES OF INISHERINGG, CCA, SAG, BAFTA
DOLLY DE LEON – TRIANGLE OF SADNESSGG, BAFTA
STEPHANIE HSU – EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCECCA, SAG
HONG CHAU – THE WHALESAG, BAFTA
CAREY MULLIGAN – SHE SAIDGG, BAFTA
JANELLE MONÁE – GLASS ONION: A KNIVES OUT MYSTERYNBRCCABAFTA
JESSIE BUCKLEY – WOMEN TALKINGCCA
LASHANA LYNCH – THE WOMAN KINGBAFTA
CLAIRE FOY – WOMEN TALKING
NINA HOSS – TÁR
SUPPORTING ACTORWINSNOMINATIONSLONGLIST
KE HUY QUAN – EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCEGG, CCASAG, BAFTA
BRENDAN GLEESON – THE BANSHEES OF INISHERINNBRGG, CCA, SAG, BAFTA
BARRY KEOGHAN – THE BANSHEES OF INISHERINGG, CCA, SAG, BAFTA
EDDIE REDMAYNE – THE GOOD NURSEGG, SAG, BAFTA
BRAD PITT – BABYLONGGBAFTA
PAUL DANO – THE FABELMANSCCA, SAG
JUDD HIRSCH – THE FABELMANSCCA
BRIAN TYREE HENRY – CAUSEWAYCCA
WOODY HARRELSON – TRIANGLE OF SADNESSBAFTA
BEN WHISHAW – WOMEN TALKINGBAFTA
TOM HANKS – ELVISBAFTA
ORIGINAL SCOREWINSNOMINATIONSLONGLIST
BABYLONGGCCA, BAFTA
GUILLERMO DEL TORO’S PINOCCHIOSCL, GG, CCA, BAFTA
THE BANSHEES OF INISHERINSCL, GG, BAFTA
ALL QUIET ON THE WESTERN FRONTBAFTA
WOMEN TALKINGGG, CCABAFTA
THE FABELMANSGG, CCA
EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCESCL (INDIE), BAFTA
GLASS ONION: A KNIVES OUT MYSTERYBAFTA
NOPESCL
DON’T WORRY DARLINGSCL
BLACK PANTHER: WAKANDA FOREVER
THE WOMAN KING
SHE SAID
SOUNDWINSNOMINATIONSLONGLIST
TOP GUN: MAVERICKCAS, BAFTA, MPSE
ELVISCAS, BAFTA, MPSE
ALL QUIET ON THE WESTERN FRONTCAS, BAFTA, MPSE
AVATAR: THE WAY OF WATERCAS, BAFTA, MPSE
THE BATMANCAS, MPSEBAFTA
GUILLERMO DEL TORO’S PINOCCHIOCAS (ANIMATED), MPSEBAFTA
BABYLONBAFTA
MOONAGE DAYDREAMCAS (DOC), MPSE (DOC)
EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCEMPSEBAFTA
BLACK PANTHER: WAKANDA FOREVER
ORIGINAL SONGWINSNOMINATIONSLONGLIST
“NAATU NAATU” – RRRGG, CCA
“HOLD MY HAND” – TOP GUN: MAVERICKGG, CCA, SCL
“LIFT ME UP” – BLACK PANTHER: WAKANDA FOREVERGG, CCA, SCL
“CIAO PAPA” – GUILLERMO DEL TORO’S PINOCCHIOGG, CCA, SCL (ANIMATED)
“CAROLINA” – WHERE THE CRAWDADS SINGGG, CCA, SCL
“NEW BODY RHUMBA” – WHITE NOISECCA
“APPLAUSE” – TELL IT LIKE A WOMANSCL
“NOTHING IS LOST (YOU GIVE ME STRENGTH)” – AVATAR: THE WAY OF WATER
“MY MIND AND ME” – SELENA GOMEZ: MY MIND & ME
“TIL YOU’RE HOME” – A MAN CALLED OTTO
“STAND UP” – TILL
“THIS IS A LIFE” – EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE
CINEMATOGRAPHYWINSNOMINATIONSLONGLIST
ELVISASC, BSC, BAFTA
THE BATMANASC, BSC, BAFTA
EMPIRE OF LIGHTASC, BAFTA
TOP GUN: MAVERICKNBR, CCAASC, BAFTA
ALL QUIET ON THE WESTERN FRONTBSC, BAFTA
THE BANSHEES OF INISHERINBSCBAFTA
BARDOASC
TÁRBSCBAFTA
BABYLONBAFTA
AVATAR: THE WAY OF WATER
THE WOMAN KING
FILM EDITINGWINSNOMINATIONSLONGLIST
EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCECCABAFTA
TOP GUN: MAVERICKCCA, BAFTA
ELVISCCA, BAFTA
ALL QUIET ON THE WESTERN FRONTCCA, BAFTA
THE BANSHEES OF INISHERINBAFTA
BABYLONCCABAFTA
AFTERSUNBAFTA
DECISION TO LEAVEBAFTA
MOONAGE DAYDREAMBAFTA
TRIANGLE OF SADNESSBAFTA
TÁRCCA
AVATAR: THE WAY OF WATER
GLASS ONION: A KNIVES OUT MYSTERY
THE FABELMANS
BEST VISUAL EFFECTSWINSNOMINATIONSLONGLIST
AVATAR: THE WAY OF WATERCCAVES, BAFTA
TOP GUN: MAVERICKVES, CCA, BAFTA
THE BATMANVES, CCA, BAFTA
FANTASTIC BEASTS: THE SECRETS OF DUMBLEDOREVESBAFTA
JURASSIC WORLD DOMINIONVESBAFTA
BLACK PANTHER: WAKANDA FOREVERCCABAFTA
THIRTEEN LIVESVES (SUPPORTING)
ALL QUIET ON THE WESTERN FRONTBAFTA
DOCTOR STRANGE IN THE MULTIVERSE OF MADNESSBAFTA
NOPE
COSTUME DESIGNWINSNOMINATIONSLONGLIST
BABYLONCDG, CCA, BAFTA
ELVISCDG, CCA, BAFTA
BLACK PANTHER: WAKANDA FOREVERCCACDGBAFTA
MRS. HARRIS GOES TO PARISCDG, BAFTA
GLASS ONION: A KNIVES OUT MYSTERYCDG, CCABAFTA
THE WOMAN KINGCDG, CCA
EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCECDG, CCA
WOMEN TALKINGCDG
DON’T WORRY DARLINGCDG
ALL QUIET ON THE WESTERN FRONTBAFTA
AMSTERDAMBAFTA
THE BANSHEES OF INISHERINBAFTA
CORSAGEBAFTA
THE FABELMANS
PRODUCTION DESIGNWINSNOMINATIONSLONGLIST
BABYLONCCAADG, BAFTA
ELVISCCA, ADG, BAFTA
ALL QUIET ON THE WESTERN FRONTADG, BAFTA
THE BATMANADG, BAFTA
AVATAR: THE WAY OF WATERCCA, ADGBAFTA
THE FABELMANSCCA, ADGBAFTA
EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCECCA, ADGBAFTA
BLACK PANTHER: WAKANDA FOREVERCCA, ADG
GUILLERMO DEL TORO’S PINOCCHIOADG (ANIMATED), BAFTA
GLASS ONION: A KNIVES OUT MYSTERYADG
BULLET TRAINADG
WHITE NOISEADG
TÁRADG
NOPEADG
BARDOADG
TOP GUN: MAVERICKADG
THE BANSHEES OF INISHERINBAFTA
EMPIRE OF LIGHTBAFTA
THE WOMAN KING
MAKE UP & HAIRSTYLINGWINSNOMINATIONSLONGLIST
ELVISCCAMUAHS, BAFTA
THE BATMANMUAHS, CCA, BAFTA
THE WHALEMUAHS, CCA, BAFTA
BABYLONMUAHS, CCABAFTA
BLACK PANTHER: WAKANDA FOREVERMUAHS, CCABAFTA
BLONDEMUAHSBAFTA
AMSTERDAMMUAHSBAFTA
ALL QUIET ON THE WESTERN FRONTBAFTA
EMANCIPATIONBAFTA
CRIMES OF THE FUTURE
INTERNATIONAL FEATUREWINSNOMINATIONSLONGLIST
ALL QUIET ON THE WESTERN FRONTCCA, GG, NBR, BAFTA
CLOSENBRCCA, GGBAFTA
DECISION TO LEAVECCA, GG, NBR, BAFTA
ARGENTINA, 1985GGCCA, NBR, BAFTA
BARDOCCABAFTA
EONBRBAFTA
THE QUIET GIRLBAFTA
CORSAGEBAFTA
HOLY SPIDERBAFTA
SAINT OMERNBR
JOYLAND
ANIMATED FEATUREWINSNOMINATIONSLONGLIST
GUILLERMO DEL TORO’S PINOCCHIOGG, CCAANNIE, BAFTA
MARCEL THE SHELL WITH SHOES ONNBRGG, CCA, ANNIE (INDIE), BAFTA
PUSS IN BOOTS: THE LAST WISHGG, CCA, ANNIE, BAFTA
TURNING REDGG, CCA, ANNIE, BAFTA
MY FATHER’S DRAGONANNIE (INDIE)
INU-OHGG, ANNIE (INDIE)
WENDELL & WILDCCA, ANNIE
THE SEA BEASTANNIE
THE BAD GUYSBAFTA
LIGHTYEARBAFTA
MINIONS: THE RISE OF GRUBAFTA
THE AMAZING MAURICEBAFTA
APOLLO 10 1/2
DOCUMENTARYWINSNOMINATIONSLONGLIST
MOONAGE DAYDREAMCCDA, BAFTA
ALL THE BEAUTY AND THE BLOODSHEDNBR, BAFTA
NAVALNYCCDA, BAFTA
FIRE OF LOVECCDA, BAFTA
ALL THAT BREATHESNBR, BAFTA
DESCENDANTNBR, CCDA
HALLELUJAH: LEONARD COHEN, A JOURNEY, A SONGBAFTA
THE JANESCCDA
BAD AXE
CHILDREN OF THE MIST
RETROGRADE
HIDDEN LETTERS
A HOUSE MADE OF SPLINTERS
LAST FLIGHT HOME
THE TERRITORY

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