As we are headed in to Oscar Nomination week, we are all finalizing our final nomination predictions based on guild and precursor performances. While stats still play a factor in a post CODA world, sometimes narratives or passion can push through a nominee or the guild/precursor performance is enough to carry a nomination to the finish line.

Our final Oscar Nomination predictions will drop on Monday, but we wanted to share our Precursor/Guild Performance guide that we’re using to wrap up our predictions!

BEST PICTURE	WINS	NOMINATIONS	LONGLIST
THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN	GG	AFI, CCA, SAG, NBR, PGA, BAFTA
EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE	CCA	AFI, GG, SAG, NBR, PGA, BAFTA
THE FABELMANS	GG	AFI, CCA, SAG, NBR, PGA	BAFTA
ELVIS		AFI, GG,CCA, PGA, BAFTA
TÁR		AFI, GG,CCA, PGA, BAFTA
TOP GUN: MAVERICK	NBR	AFI, GG,CCA, PGA	BAFTA
AVATAR: THE WAY OF WATER		AFI, GG,CCA, NBR, PGA
WOMEN TALKING		AFI, CCA, SAG, NBR
GLASS ONION: A KNIVES OUT MYSTERY		GG,CCA, NBR, PGA
RRR		CCA, NBR
TRIANGLE OF SADNESS		GG	BAFTA
THE WOMAN KING		AFI, NBR
AFTERSUN		NBR	BAFTA
ALL QUIET ON THE WESTERN FRONT		BAFTA
BABYLON		GG
THE WHALE		PGA
SHE SAID		AFI
BLACK PANTHER: WAKANDA FOREVER		PGA
LIVING			BAFTA
NOPE		AFI
TILL		NBR
GUILLERMO DEL TORO’S PINOCCHIO

BEST DIRECTOR	WINS	NOMINATIONS	LONGLIST
THE DANIELS – EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE	CCA	GG,DGA, BAFTA
MARTIN MCDONAGH – THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN		GG,CCA, DGA, BAFTA
TODD FIELD – TÁR		CCA, DGA, BAFTA
STEVEN SPIELBERG – THE FABELMANS	GG, NBR	CCA, DGA
BAZ LUHRMANN – ELVIS		GG,CCA	BAFTA
EDWARD BERGER – ALL QUIET ON THE WESTERN FRONT		BAFTA
JAMES CAMERON – AVATAR: THE WAY OF WATER		GG,CCA
GINA PRINCE-BYTHEWOOD – THE WOMAN KING		CCA, BAFTA
JOSEPH KOSINKSI – TOP GUN:MAVERICK		DGA	BAFTA
SARAH POLLEY – WOMEN TALKING		CCA	BAFTA
CHARLOTTE WELLS – AFTERSUN		DGA (FF)	BAFTA
S.S. RAJAMOULI – RRR		CCA
DAMIEN CHAZELLE – BABYLON		CCA
PARK CHAN-WOOK – DECISION TO LEAVE		BAFTA
RUBEN ÖSTLUND – TRIANGLE OF SADNESS
ALEJANDRO G. IÑÁRRITU – BARDO

ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY	WINS	NOMINATIONS	LONGLIST
THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN	GG, NBR	CCA, BAFTA
EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE	CCA	GG, BAFTA
TÁR		GG,CCA, BAFTA
THE FABELMANS		GG,CCA, BAFTA
AFTERSUN		CCA	BAFTA
TRIANGLE OF SADNESS		BAFTA
ELVIS			BAFTA
THE MENU			BAFTA
DECISION TO LEAVE
BABYLON

ADAPTED SCREENPLAY	WINS	NOMINATIONS	LONGLIST
WOMEN TALKING	CCA	GG, USC	BAFTA
THE WHALE		CCA, BAFTA
LIVING		CCA, USC, BAFTA
ALL QUIET ON THE WESTERN FRONT	NBR	BAFTA
GLASS ONION: A KNIVES OUT MYSTERY		CCA	BAFTA
SHE SAID		CCA, USC, BAFTA
GUILLERMO DEL TORO’S PINOCCHIO		USC	BAFTA
THE WONDER			BAFTA
TOP GUN: MAVERICK		USC
WHITE NOISE

LEAD ACTRESS	WINS	NOMINATIONS	LONGLIST
CATE BLANCHETT – TÁR	GG, CCA	SAG, BAFTA
MICHELLE YEOH – EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE	GG, NBR	CCA, SAG, BAFTA
DANIELLE DEADWYLER – TILL		CCA, SAG, BAFTA
VIOLA DAVIS – THE WOMAN KING		GG, CCA, SAG, BAFTA
ANA DE ARMAS – BLONDE		GG, SAG, BAFTA
MICHELLE WILLIAMS – THE FABELMANS		GG, CCA	BAFTA
MARGOT ROBBIE – BABYLON		GG, CCA
LESLEY MANVILLE – MRS HARRIS GOES TO PARIS		GG	BAFTA
EMMA THOMPSON – GOOD LUCK TO YOU, LEO GRANDE		GG, BAFTA
OLIVIA COLMAN – EMPIRE OF LIGHT		GG
NAOMIE ACKIE – I WANNA DANCE WITH SOMEBODY			BAFTA
JESSICA CHASTAIN – THE GOOD NURSE			BAFTA
ANYA TAYLOR-JOY – THE MENU		GG

LEAD ACTOR	WINS	NOMINATIONS	LONGLIST
COLIN FARRELL – THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN	GG, NBR	CCA, SAG, BAFTA
AUSTIN BUTLER – ELVIS	GG	CCA, SAG, BAFTA
BRENDAN FRASER – THE WHALE	CCA	GG, SAG, BAFTA
BILL NIGHY – LIVING		GG, CCA, SAG, BAFTA
PAUL MESCAL – AFTERSUN		CCA, BAFTA
TOM CRUISE – TOP GUN: MAVERICK		CCA	BAFTA
HUGH JACKMAN – THE SON		GG
ADAM SANDLER – HUSTLE		SAG
JEREMY POPE – THE INSPECTION		GG
DIEGO CALVA – BABYLON		GG
ADAM DRIVER – WHITE NOISE		GG
RALPH FIENNES – THE MENU		GG
DANIEL CRAIG – GLASS ONION: A KNIVES OUT MYSTERY		GG

SUPPORTING ACTRESS	WINS	NOMINATIONS	LONGLIST
ANGELA BASSETT – BLACK PANTHER: WAKANDA FOREVER	GG, CCA	SAG, BAFTA
JAMIE LEE CURTIS – EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE		GG, CCA, SAG, BAFTA
KERRY CONDON – THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN		GG, CCA, SAG, BAFTA
DOLLY DE LEON – TRIANGLE OF SADNESS		GG, BAFTA
STEPHANIE HSU – EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE		CCA, SAG
HONG CHAU – THE WHALE		SAG, BAFTA
CAREY MULLIGAN – SHE SAID		GG, BAFTA
JANELLE MONÁE – GLASS ONION: A KNIVES OUT MYSTERY	NBR	CCA	BAFTA
JESSIE BUCKLEY – WOMEN TALKING		CCA
LASHANA LYNCH – THE WOMAN KING			BAFTA
CLAIRE FOY – WOMEN TALKING
NINA HOSS – TÁR

SUPPORTING ACTOR	WINS	NOMINATIONS	LONGLIST
KE HUY QUAN – EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE	GG, CCA	SAG, BAFTA
BRENDAN GLEESON – THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN	NBR	GG, CCA, SAG, BAFTA
BARRY KEOGHAN – THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN		GG, CCA, SAG, BAFTA
EDDIE REDMAYNE – THE GOOD NURSE		GG, SAG, BAFTA
BRAD PITT – BABYLON		GG	BAFTA
PAUL DANO – THE FABELMANS		CCA, SAG
JUDD HIRSCH – THE FABELMANS		CCA
BRIAN TYREE HENRY – CAUSEWAY		CCA
WOODY HARRELSON – TRIANGLE OF SADNESS			BAFTA
BEN WHISHAW – WOMEN TALKING			BAFTA
TOM HANKS – ELVIS			BAFTA

ORIGINAL SCORE	WINS	NOMINATIONS	LONGLIST
BABYLON	GG	CCA, BAFTA
GUILLERMO DEL TORO’S PINOCCHIO		SCL, GG, CCA, BAFTA
THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN		SCL, GG, BAFTA
ALL QUIET ON THE WESTERN FRONT		BAFTA
WOMEN TALKING		GG, CCA	BAFTA
THE FABELMANS		GG, CCA
EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE		SCL (INDIE), BAFTA
GLASS ONION: A KNIVES OUT MYSTERY			BAFTA
NOPE		SCL
DON’T WORRY DARLING		SCL
BLACK PANTHER: WAKANDA FOREVER
THE WOMAN KING
SHE SAID

SOUND	WINS	NOMINATIONS	LONGLIST
TOP GUN: MAVERICK		CAS, BAFTA, MPSE
ELVIS		CAS, BAFTA, MPSE
ALL QUIET ON THE WESTERN FRONT		CAS, BAFTA, MPSE
AVATAR: THE WAY OF WATER		CAS, BAFTA, MPSE
THE BATMAN		CAS, MPSE	BAFTA
GUILLERMO DEL TORO’S PINOCCHIO		CAS (ANIMATED), MPSE	BAFTA
BABYLON			BAFTA
MOONAGE DAYDREAM		CAS (DOC), MPSE (DOC)
EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE		MPSE	BAFTA
BLACK PANTHER: WAKANDA FOREVER

ORIGINAL SONG	WINS	NOMINATIONS	LONGLIST
“NAATU NAATU” – RRR	GG, CCA
“HOLD MY HAND” – TOP GUN: MAVERICK		GG, CCA, SCL
“LIFT ME UP” – BLACK PANTHER: WAKANDA FOREVER		GG, CCA, SCL
“CIAO PAPA” – GUILLERMO DEL TORO’S PINOCCHIO		GG, CCA, SCL (ANIMATED)
“CAROLINA” – WHERE THE CRAWDADS SING		GG, CCA, SCL
“NEW BODY RHUMBA” – WHITE NOISE		CCA
“APPLAUSE” – TELL IT LIKE A WOMAN		SCL
“NOTHING IS LOST (YOU GIVE ME STRENGTH)” – AVATAR: THE WAY OF WATER
“MY MIND AND ME” – SELENA GOMEZ: MY MIND & ME
“TIL YOU’RE HOME” – A MAN CALLED OTTO
“STAND UP” – TILL
“THIS IS A LIFE” – EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE

CINEMATOGRAPHY	WINS	NOMINATIONS	LONGLIST
ELVIS		ASC, BSC, BAFTA
THE BATMAN		ASC, BSC, BAFTA
EMPIRE OF LIGHT		ASC, BAFTA
TOP GUN: MAVERICK	NBR, CCA	ASC, BAFTA
ALL QUIET ON THE WESTERN FRONT		BSC, BAFTA
THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN		BSC	BAFTA
BARDO		ASC
TÁR		BSC	BAFTA
BABYLON			BAFTA
AVATAR: THE WAY OF WATER
THE WOMAN KING

FILM EDITING	WINS	NOMINATIONS	LONGLIST
EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE	CCA	BAFTA
TOP GUN: MAVERICK		CCA, BAFTA
ELVIS		CCA, BAFTA
ALL QUIET ON THE WESTERN FRONT		CCA, BAFTA
THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN		BAFTA
BABYLON		CCA	BAFTA
AFTERSUN			BAFTA
DECISION TO LEAVE			BAFTA
MOONAGE DAYDREAM			BAFTA
TRIANGLE OF SADNESS			BAFTA
TÁR		CCA
AVATAR: THE WAY OF WATER
GLASS ONION: A KNIVES OUT MYSTERY
THE FABELMANS

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS	WINS	NOMINATIONS	LONGLIST
AVATAR: THE WAY OF WATER	CCA	VES, BAFTA
TOP GUN: MAVERICK		VES, CCA, BAFTA
THE BATMAN		VES, CCA, BAFTA
FANTASTIC BEASTS: THE SECRETS OF DUMBLEDORE		VES	BAFTA
JURASSIC WORLD DOMINION		VES	BAFTA
BLACK PANTHER: WAKANDA FOREVER		CCA	BAFTA
THIRTEEN LIVES		VES (SUPPORTING)
ALL QUIET ON THE WESTERN FRONT		BAFTA
DOCTOR STRANGE IN THE MULTIVERSE OF MADNESS			BAFTA
NOPE

COSTUME DESIGN	WINS	NOMINATIONS	LONGLIST
BABYLON		CDG, CCA, BAFTA
ELVIS		CDG, CCA, BAFTA
BLACK PANTHER: WAKANDA FOREVER	CCA	CDG	BAFTA
MRS. HARRIS GOES TO PARIS		CDG, BAFTA
GLASS ONION: A KNIVES OUT MYSTERY		CDG, CCA	BAFTA
THE WOMAN KING		CDG, CCA
EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE		CDG, CCA
WOMEN TALKING		CDG
DON’T WORRY DARLING		CDG
ALL QUIET ON THE WESTERN FRONT		BAFTA
AMSTERDAM		BAFTA
THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN			BAFTA
CORSAGE			BAFTA
THE FABELMANS

PRODUCTION DESIGN	WINS	NOMINATIONS	LONGLIST
BABYLON	CCA	ADG, BAFTA
ELVIS		CCA, ADG, BAFTA
ALL QUIET ON THE WESTERN FRONT		ADG, BAFTA
THE BATMAN		ADG, BAFTA
AVATAR: THE WAY OF WATER		CCA, ADG	BAFTA
THE FABELMANS		CCA, ADG	BAFTA
EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE		CCA, ADG	BAFTA
BLACK PANTHER: WAKANDA FOREVER		CCA, ADG
GUILLERMO DEL TORO’S PINOCCHIO		ADG (ANIMATED), BAFTA
GLASS ONION: A KNIVES OUT MYSTERY		ADG
BULLET TRAIN		ADG
WHITE NOISE		ADG
TÁR		ADG
NOPE		ADG
BARDO		ADG
TOP GUN: MAVERICK		ADG
THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN			BAFTA
EMPIRE OF LIGHT			BAFTA
THE WOMAN KING

MAKE UP & HAIRSTYLING	WINS	NOMINATIONS	LONGLIST
ELVIS	CCA	MUAHS, BAFTA
THE BATMAN		MUAHS, CCA, BAFTA
THE WHALE		MUAHS, CCA, BAFTA
BABYLON		MUAHS, CCA	BAFTA
BLACK PANTHER: WAKANDA FOREVER		MUAHS, CCA	BAFTA
BLONDE		MUAHS	BAFTA
AMSTERDAM		MUAHS	BAFTA
ALL QUIET ON THE WESTERN FRONT		BAFTA
EMANCIPATION			BAFTA
CRIMES OF THE FUTURE

INTERNATIONAL FEATURE	WINS	NOMINATIONS	LONGLIST
ALL QUIET ON THE WESTERN FRONT		CCA, GG, NBR, BAFTA
CLOSE	NBR	CCA, GG	BAFTA
DECISION TO LEAVE		CCA, GG, NBR, BAFTA
ARGENTINA, 1985	GG	CCA, NBR, BAFTA
BARDO		CCA	BAFTA
EO		NBR	BAFTA
THE QUIET GIRL		BAFTA
CORSAGE		BAFTA
HOLY SPIDER			BAFTA
SAINT OMER		NBR
JOYLAND

ANIMATED FEATURE	WINS	NOMINATIONS	LONGLIST
GUILLERMO DEL TORO’S PINOCCHIO	GG, CCA	ANNIE, BAFTA
MARCEL THE SHELL WITH SHOES ON	NBR	GG, CCA, ANNIE (INDIE), BAFTA
PUSS IN BOOTS: THE LAST WISH		GG, CCA, ANNIE, BAFTA
TURNING RED		GG, CCA, ANNIE, BAFTA
MY FATHER’S DRAGON		ANNIE (INDIE)
INU-OH		GG, ANNIE (INDIE)
WENDELL & WILD		CCA, ANNIE
THE SEA BEAST		ANNIE
THE BAD GUYS			BAFTA
LIGHTYEAR			BAFTA
MINIONS: THE RISE OF GRU			BAFTA
THE AMAZING MAURICE			BAFTA
APOLLO 10 1/2

DOCUMENTARY	WINS	NOMINATIONS	LONGLIST
MOONAGE DAYDREAM		CCDA, BAFTA
ALL THE BEAUTY AND THE BLOODSHED		NBR, BAFTA
NAVALNY		CCDA, BAFTA
FIRE OF LOVE		CCDA, BAFTA
ALL THAT BREATHES		NBR, BAFTA
DESCENDANT		NBR, CCDA
HALLELUJAH: LEONARD COHEN, A JOURNEY, A SONG			BAFTA
THE JANES		CCDA
BAD AXE
CHILDREN OF THE MIST
RETROGRADE
HIDDEN LETTERS
A HOUSE MADE OF SPLINTERS
LAST FLIGHT HOME
THE TERRITORY